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Find value bets and calculate optimal position sizing
e.g., -110, -120, +150
52.4%
What odds imply
+9.62%
✓ Value bet
+0.184
Per dollar wagered
1.91
For reference
Kelly %
5.1%
Suggested Wager
$5.05
Expected Profit
+18.36
This bet has positive expected value. The model suggests this is a favorable wager.
Implied Probability
What the odds say the probability is
Edge
Your model prob minus implied prob. Positive = value.
EV (Expected Value)
Your expected profit per dollar wagered on average
Kelly Criterion
Optimal bet size to maximize long-term growth
Value Bet
Edge ≥ 3%. Flagged as positive EV opportunity
Fractional Kelly
We use 25% Kelly for conservative sizing